In the war’s opening days, Iran unleashed a deluge of 100 to 150 missiles daily, targeting Jewish homes and schools with the kind of indiscriminate malice that has become its barbaric signature.
Yet, by the fourth day, the torrent slowed to a trickle: 50, then 30, and yesterday, an enemic 20. Over the past 14 months, some 700 medium-range ballistic missiles have been fired at Israel, each one a testament to Tehran’s obsession with killing Jews and other Israelis. Now, with its reserves gutted, Iran is forced into a posture of uncharacteristic restraint, picking targets with the caution of a gambler down to his last chips.
The numbers tell a stark story. Experts estimate Iran’s missile inventory now stands at a mere 300 to 1,300, perhaps fewer, as Israel’s relentless airstrikes reduce launchers and storage sites to rubble. This paucity has compelled Tehran to abandon the grand, wasteful salvos of last month for smaller, more precise barrages, a shift born not of strategy but of necessity.
Hillel Biton Rosen, a military commentator for Israel’s Channel 14, captures the irony with precision: “Now that Iran is back against the wall, it has gone from acting like a nation at war to a terror group.” Indeed, the regime’s bluster has given way to the tactics of a cornered beast, lashing out with diminished claws.
Some speculate Iran will now pivot to a war of attrition, firing sparse volleys of missiles to harass Israel’s daily life without risking catastrophic retaliation. A nuisance strategy, in other words, petty, yet insidious.
Others, however, see a more troubling shift: a turn to cruise missiles.
Unlike their ballistic cousins, these weapons move along at low altitudes, weaving through defenses with a serpentine guile that makes them devilishly hard to intercept. Iran has already deployed them in this conflict, and their appeal grows as the ballistic well runs dry. They may be slower, but their ability to evade Israel’s formidable missile shields makes them a sinister substitute.
Tehran’s predicament is almost pitiable, if they didn't suck so much.
Having squandered its arsenal in a fit of ideological fervor, it now scrambles to adapt, reduced to the tactics of a guerrilla outfit masquerading as a state. Yet let us not mistake desperation for defeat. Iran’s cruise missiles, with their stealth and maneuverability, pose a fresh challenge to Israel’s resilience.
The regime may be battered, but its malice endures, and the West would do well to remember that a wounded predator is often the most dangerous.
President Trump has said that he is looking for a total and complete victory.
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